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Transcript of Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und...
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
Model-based Safety Requirements Engineering
for complex ATM Systems
Dipl.- Ing. Lothar MeyerDr.-Ing. Michael Schultz
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Evaluation of a virtual control tower HMI design
• Safety Assessment of a virtual control tower HMI design• Identification of information demand [1]• Substituting visual information cues by display systems• Evaluation of virtual control tower HMI design by applying
safety criteria
2Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Display Systems used for the Virtual Control Tower
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 3
Airborne Surveillance Ground surveillance
Video Surveillance
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Preliminary System Safety Assessment
• Second step of the Safety Assessment [2]• Precondition is the availability of identified hazards and its
safety objectives
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 4
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Preliminary System Safety Assessment
• Determining system architecture• Identification of causal events that contribute to the
probability of hazard occurrences• Identification of causal logic• Modeling fault tree for identified hazards
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 5
causes consequences
hazard
FTA ETA
true
fa lse
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Performing evaluation studies were performed
• Hazard causes need to be identified with respect to the ability of the operator to detect visual information.
• Experimental design included 12 student probands and three test arrangements of the virtual tower design
• Performing tests with factorial plan
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 6
Proband
Traffic Generator Sequence
Local hazards
Procedual failures
Traffic situation
Clear traffic
Display Situation
Traffic data
Percept events
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Results of the experimental cause identification
• Determining the occurrence probability of• separation minima violation by giving incorrect clearance,• runway incursion by giving incorrect clearance,• detecting events as e.g.
• Unauthorized stop bar overrun and• Animal occurrence.• Missed approach
• Sensitivity analysis of probability according to variation of design
• Interviewing probands for causes of failure and non- detection qualitatively.
• Causes were e.g.• lack of resolution on the holding points and take-off position• Redundancy of visual information• A low information density (detection time)• Loss of depth information e.g. missed approach on the ground
surveillance displayDipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 7
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Modeling in fault trees and apportionment
• Modeling perceptual lacks in the system design as causative events
• More than three fault trees were modeled
• Apportionment of safety objectives into safety requirements according to given causal logic
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 8
A/C position not detected
P=10-9
Stopp bar not localizable
Spatial recognition of A/C decreased
Lack of contrast
Resolution of A/C is unsufficent
Displayed A/C dimensions are unsufficent
Movements are not predictable
Altitude of A/C not detectable
Visual information too distributed
Used too many types ot Display systems
Too many display fields
Density of visual information insufficent
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Introduction of causal network models
• Performing apportionment fault tree modeling don’t respect multidependencies of the causal events.
• Redundant allocation of causal events with safety requirements
• Performing apportionment by use of a causal network would take into account multidependencies
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 9
Parameter 1
Parameter 2
Parameter 3
Hz1Hz1
Hz2Hz2
Hz3Hz3
AccidentAccident
Major Incident
Major Incident
Case 1: simple impact Case 1: simple impact
Case 2: multi impactCase 2: multi impact
Case 3:no impactCase 3:no impact
Serious Incident (Runway Incursion)
Serious Incident (Runway Incursion)
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Mathematic modeling for causal network models
Kolmogorov's axioms of unification and intersection
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 10
Hazard H1
Cause C1
Cause C2
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Mathematic modeling for causal network models
• Modeling multidependency by means of linear algebraic expressions• Vectors are defined as n-tuple (one column matrix)• Nonlinear term with dependent input parameters• Generalized with • effects the multiplicative combination without repetition of
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 11
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Mathematic modeling for causal network models
• Final transfer function for mapping causal probabilities to hazards probabilities.
• Safety objectives complies when hazards probabilites are equal or less then corresponding safety objectives
• With that effects the combination without repetition by means of exponentiation.
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 12
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
EMF – Eclipse Modelling Framework ( GMF)
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 13
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Demonstration of causal networks models
• Trivial sample of the experimental identification in the virtual control tower
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 14
A/C presence not detectable (SO=10-9)
H1H1
A/C position not detectable (SO=10-9)
H2H2
Wildlife presence not detectable (SO=1.5 10-4)
H3H3
resolution too low
C2C2
contrast too low
Vision system too diversive
C3C3
C1C1
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Result
• Solution space of safety requirements that comply to given safety objectives
• Sample shows boundaries of three dimensional case. • Visualization realized by Matlab 3D Plot functions
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 15
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Boundary conditions
• Using ratios
• Possible weighting of technical components reliability
• Degree of exceeding safety objectives
• When J is zero, safety objectives are met perfectly• J indicates the degree of additional safety that excees mandatory
safety objectives• Virtual tower case: J=1.5 10-4 at any boundary solution
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 16
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Summary
• An experimental identification hazard cause has been performed to the virtual control tower design
• Modeling of fault trees does not take into account multidependencies (redundancy of safety requirements)
• Apportionment method that is extended by use of a causal network offers the possibility to determine safety requirements that meets personalized optimization criterion
• A static transfer function has been deduced that maps causal probabilities to hazard probabilities
• A software framework has been developed that supports modeling, parameterizing and visualization of the extended apportionment method
• the method has been applied to a sample of the virtual tower and criterion and related final safety requirements has been set
• The method demands for additional validation with safety related air navigation systems.
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 17
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Thank you.
www.ifl.tu-dresden.de
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 18
Fakultät Verkehrswissenschaften, Institut für Luftfahrt und Logistik, Professur Technologie und Logistik des Luftverkehrs
ATM Seminar 2011
Bibliography
[1]L. Meyer et al. (2010), Functional Hazard Analysis of Virtual Control Towers, Valenciennes, IFAC.
[2]SAM-TF (2004), Preliminary system safety assessment, Eurocontrol, Brussels, Belgium.
[3]H. Kruegle, Ed., CCTV Surveillance: Analog and Digital Video Practices and Technology. USA: Elsevier, 2007.
Dipl.- Ing Lothar Meyer 19