Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Geothermal market Turkey Potential, status and market developments
Dr. Rolf Schiffer
Schiffer Consult - GEO · Services
Marl, Germany
www.schiffer-consult.de
Status as of September 30th 2015
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Overview
Content
Brief company presentation
Geothermal potential of Turkey
Development and projections of geothermal electricity (power) production in Turkey
Thermal applications – status and possibilities (for development)
Outlook and forecast
Conclusion
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Brief company presentation
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
International geoscientific and technical (interdisciplinary) consulting
in geology, renewables, infrastructure, resources, hydrogeology,
environment, conversion management, health and safety
Project and management consultancy
Studies, assessments / due diligence
Project and business development
Marketing
Agency services
Customer relationship management and communication
Services
Schiffer Consult - GEO · Services
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Our services in geothermal energy
Schiffer Consult
GEO
Geology
BNE
GEO-ConsEnS
GPG Studies
Agency Services
Market-ing
Consult-ing
Energy- mix
Geo-thermal
Services
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Geothermal potential of Turkey
Picture: SC · SGS, SCHIFFER, R.
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Geothermal resource of Europe
100 °C
120 °C 150 °C
200 °C
Source:
Geothermal map
of Europe
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Turkey’s geothermal energy potential
Source: KORKMAZ E. D., SERPEN U.,
SATMAN E. (2010): Turkey geothermal
energy potential, Istanbul Technical
University
Temperatures in [ oC ]
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
227 geothermal fields in use and developement
2,000 hot and mineral water resources (Temperature range 20 °C to 287 °C)
Drilled: ~ 1,200 geothermal exploratory, production and reinjection wells
Geothermal heat capacity potential estimated 2015: 60,000 MWth (2010: 31,500 MWth)
Installed geothermal heat capacity ~ 2,880 MWth in direct use incl. heat pumps
Installed geothermal power production ~ 500 MWel (09/2015)
Total geothermal technical and economical electricity potential: 2,000 MWel
(hydrothermal 0–3 km, next 15 – 20 years, incentive 0.105 US-$)
theoretical: 4,500 MWel
Estimated technical EGS electricity production potential 250,000 MWel (3-5 km)
Total EGS electricity production technical and economical potential 25,000 MWel
(estimated next 20 years)
Geothermal potential of Turkey (hydrothermal and petrothermal)
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Development and projections of geothermal
electricity (power) production in Turkey
Picture: SC· SGS, SCHIFFER R. - GPP Germencik
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Installed geothermal capacity worldwide 2014
Source: BERTANI R. (2015), Proceedings WGC 2015, Melbourne
Turkey (08-2015):
> 500 MW
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Installed geothermal capacity worldwide 2014
Data Source: BERTANI R. (2015), Proceedings WGC 2015, Melbourne
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Installed capacity by energy source
TÜRKİYE ELEKTRİK ENERJİSİ
KURULUŞ VE YAKIT CİNSLERİNE GÖRE KURULU GÜÇ
YAKIT CİNSLERİ
2014 YILI SONU 31 TEMMUZ 2015 SONU İTİBARİYLE
KURULU GÜÇ KATKI
SANTRAL
SAYISI KURULU GÜÇ KATKI
SANTRAL
SAYISI
MW % ADET MW % ADET
FUEL-OİL + ASFALTİT + NAFTA + MOTORİN 659,8 0,9 18 766,3 1,1 16
TAŞ KÖMÜRÜ + LİNYİT 8.573,4 12,3 23 8.729,4 12,1 25
İTHAL KÖMÜR 6.062,6 8,7 8 6.064,2 8,4 8
DOĞALGAZ + LNG 21.476,1 30,9 230 21.575,7 30,0 236
YENİLEN. + ATIK + ATIKISI + PİROLİTİK YAĞ 288,1 0,4 58 315,8 0,4 64
ÇOK YAKITLILAR KATI + SIVI 667,8 1,0 9 657,8 0,9 7
ÇOK YAKITLILAR SIVI + DOĞALGAZ 4.074,0 5,9 42 4.015,1 5,6 39
JEOTERMAL 404,9 0,6 15 437,7 0,6 16
HİDROLİK BARAJLI 16.606,9 23,9 77 17.967,9 25,0 87
HİDROLİK AKARSU 7.036,3 10,1 444 7.203,9 10,0 447
RÜZGAR 3.629,7 5,2 90 4.032,1 5,6 101
GÜNEŞ (LİSANSSIZ) 40,2 0,1 112 142,4 0,2 235
TOPLAM 69.519,8 100,0 1.126 71.908,3 100,0 1.281
Source: Turkish electricity transmisson company (2015)
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Installed capacity (TEIAŞ)
Data Source: Turkish
electricity transmission
company (08/2015)
Renewable
Energy
Resources Law
2005
Renewable
Energy
Resources Law
update 2009
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Map of geothermal energy sources and applications
Source:
MTA (2012) –
Enerji
Hammadde
Etüt ve Arama
Dairesi
Başkanlığı,
Report
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Location of the main geothermal fields
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Thermal applications – status and possibilities
(for development)
Pictures: topnews.in; formanfarms.ca; holydaycheck.de
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Geothermal direct heat uses (2014)
Summary table of geothermal direct heat uses as of 31 December 2014
Use
Installed Capacity
[MW t]
Annual Energy Use
[TJ/yr]
Individual Space Heating 420 4635
District Heating 805 8885
Air Conditioning (Cooling) -* -*
Greenhouse Heating 612 11580
Fish Farming -* -*
Animal Farming -* -*
Agricultural Drying 1,5 50
Industrial Process Heat -* -*
Snow Melting -* -*
Bathing and Swimming 1005 19016
Other Uses (specify) -* -*
Subtotal 2843.5 44166
Geothermal Heat Pumps 42,8 960
TOTOAL 2886.3 45126
* - no data available
Source:
MERTOGLU, O.,
SIMSEK S.,
BASRIRN N.
(2015) Country
Update Report of
Turkey (2010-
2015)
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Status in geothermal house heating systems in Turkey
Place Name
Number of Residential Equivalence (RE) heated
Geoth.water temp (°C)
Investor
İzmir – Balçova + Narlıdere
34100 125-145
Provincial and Municipal Administration Equal Weighted Joint Stock Company
Gönen 2500 80 Weighted Municipal Corporation
Simav 7500 167 Municipality
Kırşehir 1800 57 Special Provincial Administration of the Municipal Corporation Weighted
Kızılcahamam 2500 80 Weighted Municipal Corporation
Afyon 8000 95 Special Provincial Administration of the Municipal Corporation Weighted
Kozaklı 3000 90 Weighted Municipal Corporation
Sandıklı 6000 70 Weighted Municipal Corporation
Diyadin 690 70 Special Provincial Administration
Salihli 7292 94 Municipality
Sarayköy 2200 140 Weighted Municipal Corporation
Edremit 4881 60 Municipality+Private Sector Company
Bigadiç 1950 96 Municipality
Sarıkaya 550 (not operated) 50 Special Provincial Administration + Municipality + Private Sector
Yozgat-Sorgun 1500 (not operated) 80 Municipality
Yerköy 1500 (not operated) 55-60 Special Provincial Administration + Municipality + Private Sector
Güre 650 55 Municipality
İzmir – Dikili 2500 99 Municipality
İzmir – Bergama 450 60 Municipality
Source:
DAGISTAN H.
et al.(2015) -
Geothermal
Explorations
and
Investigations
by MTA in
Turkey
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Outview and forecast
Picture: SC · SGS, ROITZSCH, T.
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Geothermal Status (recent)
Data based
on TEIAŞ
(Turkish
electricity
transmission
company)
07/2015
added
09/2015
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Turkish producer of geothermal electricity
Electricity producer Existing capacity [MW] Under construction [MW] Total [MW]
Güriş Holding 162,3 70,0 232,3
Zorlu Enerji 128,7 11,3 140,0
Maren Enerji 92,0 44,0 136,0
Çelikler Jeotermal 67,5 74,8 142,4
MB Holding 51,5 17,0 68,5
Türkerler Jeotermal 24,0 24,0 48,0
BM Holding 13,2 0 13,2
Enda Enerji holding 7,5 0 7,5
Bereket Jeotermal Enerji 6,85 0 6,9
Akça Enerji 3,8 10,0 13,8
greeneco Enerji 0 25,6 25,6
Karadeniz Holding 0 24,0 24,0
enerjeo 0 24,0 24,0
Sanko Enerji 0 15,0 15,0
Alres A.Ş. 0 10,0 10,0
GÖK Jeotermal 0 3,0 3,0
MTN Enerji 0 3,0 3,0
Jeoden Enerji 0 2,5 2,5
Sum 557,4 358,2 915,6
Data based on TEIAS
(Turkish electricity
transmission company)
07/2015, added 09/2015
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Growth of total Investments in Geothermal
Period
Research &
Development
Field
Development
including
Production
Utilization Funding Type
Private Public Direct Electrical
Million US$ Million US$ Million US$ Million US$ % %
1995-
1999 2,2 100
2000-
2004 7,5 1,35 74 10 90
2005-
2009 350 68 212 500 70 30
2010-
2014 1250 750 300 2000 85 15
Source: MERTOGLU, O., SIMSEK S., BASRIRN N. (2015) Country Update Report of Turkey (2010-2015)
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Geothermal projections for 2014 – 2018 of Turkey
(Acc. To the 10th development plan (2014 – 2018) of the Ministry of Development)
Geothermal Utilizations Government Targets for 2018
Additional
Investment USD
(until 2018)
Electricity Generation 750 MWel
(6 Billion kWh)
2.0 Billion USD
Heating
(Residences, Hotels, Thermal Facilities and others)
4,000 MW th
(500,000 Residences Equivalence)
1.4 Billion USD
Greenhouse Heating 2,040 MW th
(6 Billion m²)
300 Million USD
(including Wells)
Drying 500 MW th
(500.000 tons/year)
180 Million USD
Thermal Tourism 1,100 MW th
(400 Thermal Facility Equivalence)
1.2 Billion USD
Air conditioning 300 MW th
(50,000 Residences Equivalence)
300 Million USD
Aquaculture + others 400 MW th 150 Million USD
Total Direct Use 8,340 MWth 5.53 Billion USD
Natural Gas Equivalence of all the above mentioned
geothermal direct use Utilizations
6,1 Billion USD/year
The economical value added to the Turkey’s Economy
by means of above mentioned Utilizations until the End
of 2018
32 Billion USD/year
The created Employment (Direct and Indirect) 300,000 Person
Source:
Turkish
Geothermal
Association;
GEOPOWER
Turkey,
10-2013
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Conclusion
Picture: SC · SGS, SCHIFFER. R.
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Good conditions for the geothermal development in Turkey
High geothermal energy potential
One of the fastest growing geothermal markets worldwide
Possibilities for further development beside hydrothermal utilization
Support of the renewables by the Turkish government
Guaranteed feed-in tariff
High acceptance for geothermal projects
Local and international investments in geothermal energy
Conclusion
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
For more information and
news about the Turkish
geothermal Market please
contact us or visit our
homepage:
www.schiffer-consult.de
More Information
Dr. R. Schiffer – Geothermal market Turkey - Potential, status and market developments, Stuttgart 01.10.2015
Contact
Schiffer Consult
Schiffer GEO ∙ Services (SGS)
Treibweg 1, 45772 Marl, Germany
Cell phone +49 160 - 715 08 79
Phone +49 23 65 - 50 70 47
Fax +49 23 65 - 20 54 97
www.schiffer-consult.de
Contact persons
Dr. Rolf Schiffer
Dipl.-Ing. Tobias Roitzsch
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