Erste Group · 2017. 9. 18. · ERSTE GROUP March 2010 Inaugural Public Sector Covered Bond 4...
Transcript of Erste Group · 2017. 9. 18. · ERSTE GROUP March 2010 Inaugural Public Sector Covered Bond 4...
ERSTE GROUP
Erste Group -Inaugural Public Sector Covered Bond
March 2010
ERSTE GROUP
March 2010 Inaugural Public Sector Covered Bond2
Disclaimer –Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements
− THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN THIS DOCUMENT HAS NOT BEEN INDEPENDENTLY VERIFIED AND NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED IS MADE AS TO, AND NO RELIANCE SHOULD BE PLACED ON, THE FAIRNESS, ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS OR CORRECTNESS OF THIS INFORMATION OR OPINIONS CONTAINED HEREIN.
− CERTAIN STATEMENTS CONTAINED IN THIS DOCUMENT MAY BE STATEMENTS OF FUTURE EXPECTATIONS AND OTHER FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS THAT ARE BASED ON MANAGEMENT’S CURRENT VIEWS AND ASSUMPTIONS AND INVOLVE KNOWN AND UNKNOWN RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES THAT COULD CAUSE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR EVENTS TO DIFFER MATERIALLY FROM THOSE EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED IN SUCH STATEMENTS.
− NONE OF ERSTE GROUP OR ANY OF ITS AFFILIATES, ADVISORS OR REPRESENTATIVES SHALL HAVE ANY LIABILITY WHATSOEVER (IN NEGLIGENCE OR OTHERWISE) FOR ANY LOSS HOWSOEVER ARISING FROM ANY USE OF THIS DOCUMENT OR ITS CONTENT OR OTHERWISE ARISING IN CONNECTION WITH THIS DOCUMENT.
− THIS DOCUMENT DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OR INVITATION TO PURCHASE OR SUBSCRIBE FOR ANY SHARES AND NEITHER IT NOR ANY PART OF IT SHALL FORM THE BASIS OF OR BE RELIED UPON IN CONNECTION WITH ANY CONTRACT OR COMMITMENT WHATSOEVER.
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March 2010 Inaugural Public Sector Covered Bond3
Presentation topics
−Erste Group’s strengths & strategy
− Funding
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March 2010 Inaugural Public Sector Covered Bond4
Percentage numbers refer to market shares and are as of Dec 2009
4
Erste Group in the region –Overview of key facts
Indirect presence
Clients: 0.1m
Ukraine
Retail loans: 1.7%
Retail dep .: 0.3%
Branches: 134
Clients: 4.7m
Romania
Retail loans: 20.0%
Retail dep.: 23.8%
Branches: 661
Clients: 0.2m
Serbia
Retail loans: 3.2%
Retail dep.: 2.7%
Branches: 73
Clients: 3.1m
Austria
Retail loans: 19.0%
Retail dep.: 19.4%
Branches: 1,056
Clients: 0.7m
Croatia
Retail loans: 13.1%
Retail dep.: 12.6%
Branches: 138
Clients: 5.3m
Czech Republic
Retail loans: 27.7%
Retail dep.: 29.5%
Branches: 660
Clients: 2.5m
Slovakia
Retail loans: 25.9%
Retail dep.: 28.1%
Branches: 279
Clients: 0.9m
Hungary
Retail loans: 12.3%
Retail dep.: 6.9%
Branches: 204Total population: 120m
Bankable population: 92m
Erste Group customers: 17.5m
Key market stats
EU resident customers: 16.4m
Non-EU or non-EU candidate country
EU or-EU candidate country
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March 2010 Inaugural Public Sector Covered Bond5
Clientbase: 1.14 Mio
Upper Austria
Market share (client)
Clientbase: 0.43 Mio
Salzburg
Market Share (client)
Clientbase: 1.30 Mio
Lower Austria
Market share (client)
Sparkassen: 34 %
Sparkassen: 20 %
Sparkassen: 28%
Erste Bank: 8 %Clientbase: 1.40 Mio
Vienna
Market Share (client)
Sparkassen: 2 %
Erste Bank: 22 %
Clientbase: 0,24 Mio
Burgenland
Market Share (client)
Sparkassen: 5 %
Erste Bank: 12 %Clientbase: 1.01 Mio
Styria
Market Share (client)
Sparkassen: 31 %
Clientbase: 0.47 Mio
Carinthia
Market Share (client)
Sparkassen: 21 %
Clientbase: 0.57 Mio
Tyrol
Market share (client)
Sparkassen: 33 %
Clientbase: 0.29 Mio
Vorarlberg
Market share (client)
Sparkassen: 28 %
Kundenbasis: “bankable People“ = Personen über 15 JahreQuelle: FMDS 2007
The Cross Guarantee System
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March 2010 Inaugural Public Sector Covered Bond6
Erste Group in the region –Attractive fiscal environment in CEE
− Erste Group’s markets characterised by lower levels of public debt− Of these Hungary has the highest public debt to GDP
ratio (80%), yet is still below the Eurozone average− Only Hungary and Austria are expected to be above
the Maastricht threshold of 60% by end-2010− Other countries to remain significantly below the 60%
threshold
− CEE countries have already started to tackle fiscal deficits− Erste Group’s core markets are at the lower end of
the range
− Deficits will be below the Eurozone average (6.9% of GDP) in all countries
122
117
101
85
83
83
80
80
76
74
66
66
55
47
45
43
40
35
35
35
26
15
8.7
5.3
5.9
8.0
11.6
8.3
12.0
4.1
5.0
5.5
10.1
6.2
6.2
4.6
3.5
7.0
6.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
6.3
1.2
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140
Greece
Italy
Belgium
Portugal
Ireland
France
United Kingdom
Hungary
Germany
Austria
Spain
Netherlands
Poland
Finland
Croatia
Slovenia
Slovakia
Serbia
Ukraine
Czech Republic
Romania
Bulgaria
Debt 2010Deficit 2010
Euro Areaaverage (2010E)
Maastrichtlimit
Public debt/fiscal deficit in % of GDP
Source: European Commission, Erste Group Research
Eurozoneaverage (2010e)
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FY 2009 financial highlights –Cost/income ratio reached record low in 2009
*) Red bars denote reported EPS and ROE respectively. Cash EPS and EPS calculated on average number of shares: 322.2m (ex treasury shares and shares owned by savings banks with EB participations: 4.60m), adjusted for non cash items amounting to EUR 67.2m in FY 09 (linear depreciation of customer relationship value after tax and minorities) and dividend on the participation capital (EUR 141.1m).
Cash earnings per share *
2.98 3.14
3.92
2.892.57
2.74
2.37
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
in E
UR
Cost/income ratio
62.2%59.9% 59.2%
57.2%
50.2%
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Cash return on equity *
19.5%
13.8% 14.6%
10.1% 9.7%
9.6% 9.1%
0%
4%
8%
12%
16%
20%
24%
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
− Net profit improved by 5.1% to EUR 903.4m− Decline in EPS due to 60m new shares issued in November
capital raising
− NIM on interest bearing assets at highest ever leve l of 3.0% at FY 09 (FY 08: 2.8%)− Based on stable to improving margins both in CEE (up to 4.7%)
and Austria (up to 2.0%)
− Cash ROE reached 9.7% on substantially higher capital − Shareholders’ equity increased by EUR 4.6bn in 2009 (+57.3%),
including EUR 1.76bn of participation capital issued in H1 09 and EUR 1.7bn from new shares
− CIR improved to record low of 50.2%− Dividend of EUR 0.65 will be proposed at AGM
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2008 2009
Tier 1 ratio (credit risk) 1
+358 bps 10.8%
2008 2009
Core tier 1 ratio (total risk) 3
+313 bps
2008 2009
Erste Group’s capital position –Substantially improved capital ratios
1) Tier 1 ratio (credit risk) = tier 1 capital incl. hybrid and after regulatory deductions divided by credit RWA.
2) Tier 1 ratio (total risk) = tier 1 capital incl. hybrid and after regulatory deductions divided by total RWA (which includes credit risk, market and operational risk).
3) Core tier 1 ratio (total risk) = tier 1 capital excl. hybrid and after regulatory deductions divided by total RWA (which includes credit risk, market and operational risk).
Tier 1 ratio (total risk) 2
+303 bps
7.2%
6.2%
9.2%
5.2%
8.3%
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Presentation topics
−Erste Group’s strengths & strategy− Funding − Funding mix and strategy 2010− “Pfandbrief” Legislation in Austria− Overview of Erste Group’s Cover Pools
10March 2010
ERSTE GROUP
Inaugural Public Sector Covered Bond
AaaMortgage Covered Bond
AaaPublic Sector Covered Bond
F1P-1A-1Short-Term
Credit Rating
A
(stable)
Aa3
(negative)
A
(negative)
Long-Term Credit Rating
Erste Group’s ratings
AA+ Aa1 AA+
AA Aa2 AA+
AA- Aa3 AA-
A+ A1 Bank A Bank B A+
A Bank A Bank B A2 A Bank A Bank B Bank D
A- A3 A-
BBB+ Baa1 Bank C Bank D Bank E BBB+ Bank C
FitchS&P Moody`s
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Erste Group’s funding profile –Retail funding providing stable support for future growth
− Customer deposits are the main source of funding− Providing a solid funding base in all local currencies− Translating into stable loan/deposit ratio of 115%− Increased share of customer deposits during crisis
− Short-term funding needs well covered− Declining share of short-term funding− Collateral capacity exceeds funding needs
− Limited long-term funding required− Total funding needs for 2010 will be between EUR 3-4bn− Funding will focus on covered bonds and retail placements− Further focus on extension of maturity profile
Evolution of Erste Group's funding mix
54.6% 57.0% 58.9%
17.0% 15.9% 15.6%
19.2% 18.1% 13.8%
6.2% 5.8% 8.5%3.0% 3.2% 3.2%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09Customer deposits Issued bonds & CDs Deposits by banksEquity Subordinated capital
Short-term funding vs collateral coverage
36.232.1
25.719.1
23.427.652.7%
72.9%
107.4%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09
in E
UR
bill
ion
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Short-term funding Collateral Collateral coverage
Redemption Profile of Erste Group
3.6
1.4
0.70.50.70.3
1.7
4.1 4.65
1.9 1.7
2.9
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022+
in E
UR
billi
on
Senior unsecured Covered Bonds Subordinated Debt Debt CEE Subsidiaries
Redemption profile of Erste Group
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Outlook 2010: Focus on Pfandbrief issues
Expected Funding Structure 2010Funding Structure 2009
Pfandbrief 1.4bn
Capital (LT2,UT2)
0.2bn
Guaranteed issues4bn
Senior PP 2.7bn Pfandbrief
Capital (LT2,UT2)
; Senior PP
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EGB inaugural Mortgage Pfandbrief in comparisonAbsolute spread performance last 6 months
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
KA 13
RZB 14
OKB 16
ERSTBK 14
ASFING 17
OBND 16
ERSTBK 16
Erste Group Pfandbrief vs. Austrian Agencies and GGB‘s
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
DB 16
LBBW 15
BHH 17
DHY 16
DGHYP 16
DPB 15
EURHYP 16
ERSTBK 16
Erste Group Pfandbrief vs. German Pfandbriefe Erste Group Pfandbrief vs. European Covered Bonds
-15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30
BBVASM 16
SANTAN 16
BANEST 16
CAIXAC 17
UCGIM 16
DEXMA 16
ACACB 16
ERSTBK 16
Erste Group Pfandbrief vs. Indices
-20 -10 0 10 20 30
iBoxx ES
iBoxx CB
iBoxx Hypf
iBoxx GER
iBoxx FR
iBoxx AUT
ERSTBK 16
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Presentation topics
−Erste Group’s strengths & strategy− Funding − Funding mix and strategy 2010− “Pfandbrief” Legislation in Austria− Overview of Erste Group’s Cover Pools
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Legal Framework in AustriaMortgage and Public Sector Pfandbrief
Austrian Covered Bonds
Pfandbriefe (Mortgage Banking Act)Fundierte
Schuldverschreibungen
Hypothekenbankgesetz(Mortgage Banking Act 1899)
Pfandbriefgesetz(Pfandbrief Law 1938)
Law from 1905
Erste Group Bank
Bank Austria Creditanstalt
Landeshypothekenbanken
Pfandbriefstelle
BAWAG
Kommunalkredit
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PfandbriefeLegislation comparison
����XX��������***NPV matching
��������������������Pfandbriefe remain outstanding in caseof issuer‘s bankruptcy
��������������������Special proceedings in case of insolvency
����X������������Cover Pool monitoring (Trustee)
X����X��������Legally required minimum over-collateralization
X����XX����Collateral assets limited to Europe
��������X��������Cover register
X**����X��������Mortgage and public sector collateralassets in seperate pools
��������������������Pfandbrief law in place
NorwaySpainFranceGermanyAustria(Pfandbriefe)*
Criteria of Pfandbrief law
*Hypothekenpfandbriefgesetz **but several single cover pools possible
***if included in the articles of association of the resp ective credit institution wich is the case for EGB
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Presentation topics
−Erste Group’s strengths & strategy− Funding − Funding mix and strategy 2010− “Pfandbrief” Legislation in Austria− Overview of Erste Group’s Public Sector Cover Pool
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March 2010 Inaugural Public Sector Covered Bond18
Overview of Erste Group Public Sector Cover Pool - Key characteristics
−Aaa Rating from Moody’s
−Strong and long existing legal framework for Austri an Pfandbriefe
− 94% of the Cover Pool assets are originated in Aust ria, 6% are in Europe
−Public Sector loans represent 94% of the Cover Pool
−Average exposure per entity is less than € 2mn
−Average seasoning is 4.8 years
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Overview of Erste Group Public Sector Cover Pool
Cover Pool
Structure of Cover Pool per 31.01.2010 Rating: Aaa Moody´s
Pfandbrief Issues
Total volume € 2,876 mn
Number of loans 5,496
Number of borrowers 1,579
Average exposure per borrower € 1.8 mn
Avg. seasoning 4.7 yrs
Avg. remaining life 13.8 yrs
Volume of bonds issued € 2,358 mn
thereof ECB Collateral € 1,410 mn
Average remaining maturity 8.6 yrs
Over-collaterisation 203%
Number of covered bonds 65
Average size of issue € 36.3 mn
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Overview of Erste Group Public Sector Cover Pool II
(Primary) Loans Cover Pool by Rating
Regional Distribution
Regional distribution Austrian regional distribution
Aaa-Rating95%
Aa-Rating3%
Investment grade
2%
Bonds6%
Loans94%
Other provinces
24%
Salzburg16%
Styria18%
Lower Austria
23%
Vienna (incl.
central govt)19%
Austria94%
EU6%
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Contacts
− Erste Group Bank AG, Börsegasse 14, 1010 Vienna
E-mail: [email protected]: www.erstegroup.com / Investor Relations / Bond Investo rs
− Investor RelationsGabriele Werzer Tel: +43 (0)5 0100-11286 e-mail: [email protected]
Thomas Sommerauer Tel: +43 (0)5 0100-17326 e-mail: [email protected]
− Debt Capital Markets/ Long Term FundingChristian Reiss Tel: +43 (0)5 0100-84012 e-mail: [email protected]ée Bauer Tel: +43 (0)5 0100-84013 e-mail: [email protected]
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Shareholder structure –Total number of shares: 377,925,086
By investor By region
Last update: November 2009
26.1%
Employees3.3%
Savings banks6.8%
Retail investors6.6%
Institutional investors
47.1%
Criteria CaixaCorp
10.1%
Austria50.1%
North America16.3%
UK & Ireland12.1%
Continental Europe20.6%
Other0.9%